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A Portrait of The HIV/AIDS Researcher Prof. JP Moore as Both Object and SubjectSee also Classic, Unforgettable Moments from the Legendary BBC Goon Show reanimated for the 21st C. and Annotated Appropriately to this Wiki
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A Portrait of The HIV/AIDS Researcher Prof. JP Moore as Both Object and Subject
See also Classic, Unforgettable Moments from the Legendary BBC Goon Show reanimated for the 21st C. and Annotated Appropriately to this Wiki

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Image:125px-JTF.jpg

Wikipedia link: HIV

Answers link: HIV


TABLE 1

Incidence and Death
Due to a Hypothetical Disease

YEAR INC D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 D9 D10 D11 D12 D13 D14 D15 D15+
1 100 70 30
2 200 180 20
3 500 400 50 50
4 1000 800 100 100
5 2000 1400 400 100 100
6 5000 3000 1000 500 500
7 10000 5000 1500 1500 1000 1000
8 15000 8000 2000 1500 1000 1000 500 100 100 800
9 10000 4000 500 300 200 200 200 100 4500
10 8000 2000 1000 500 300 150 50 4000
11 6000 1000 500 250 150 100 4000
12 5000 500 300 150 50 4000
13 5000 750 500 250 3500
14 5000 500 200 4300
15 5000 500 4500



TABLE 2

Annual Mortality Rates
of a Hypothetical Disease

YEAR MORT. RATE
1 7
2 21
3 42
4 85
5 155
6 350
7 610
8 1010
9 800
10 500
11 430
12 270
13 230
14 175
15 135



TABLE 3

One-year Case-fatality Rates
of a Hypothetical Disease

YEAR 1-YEAR CFR
1 70%
2 90%
3 80%
4 80%
5 70%
6 60%
7 50%
8 53%
9 40%
10 25%
11 17%
12 10%
13 15%
14 10%
15 10%



TABLE 4

Annual Mortality Rates
of a Hypothetical Disease
(scaled to AIDS prevalence)

YEAR MORT. RATE
1 108%
2 168%
3 135%
4 126%
5 105%
6 89%
7 67%
8 63%
9 47%
10 24%
11 22%
12 13%
13 10%
14 7%
15 4%

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